The Amazing Sanction Race

[dragonknight1000]

Not desperate... just tried of trying not to stay sanctioned, yet continuing to be.

Desperation? would be 10 of us ghosting TOOL and pushing you into 9th place

let's not (Jarkko and the war dept.'ll have a major fit *he hates ghosts, more than anyone can understand*)

Umm, my nation really isn't worth terribly much, it's Syn's that'll really hurt.

dangit, and I may be assigned to Invicta as a diplomat w/in a few days, you're leaving too soon (maybe I could be an unofficial diplo to SOS...maybe)

tomorrows update is going to hurt.

a lot.

ouch, poor UPN good luck recovering from that blow (off topic but love your avy: FMA RULES!)

[Uralica]

let's not (Jarkko'll have a major fit *he hates ghosts, more than anyone can understand*)

Fixed.

Here's a photo tl;dr of the Syktyvkar Proclamation. (An RP speech my character made in Syktyvkar, a RL city that also happens to be my nation's capital )

[dragonknight1000]

^I figured that was gonna happen XD

go Edgecrusher!

[D34th]

)): MK )):

For stole our biggest gainer prize.

[Goldie]

i predict a very happy Halloween for Viridia.

we're already up .07 from sanction race update, with the promise of much much more tomorrow good day to be green!

[Hassman]

Soon within a few weeks we will be passing MASH mwhahaha.

[Gopherbashi]

Minidate

[228] (-6) United Purple Nations : 19.46 --> 18.51 (-0.95)

[Goldie]

i guess thats going to overshadow ve already being up a quarter of a point

[Unsure]

Minidate

[228] (-6) United Purple Nations : 19.46 --> 18.51 (-0.95)

This foreshadows nothing at all.

[Tushar Dhoot]

Is it just me or did we not have an update yesterday?

[Locke]

This foreshadows nothing at all.

Happy to have Kae back under your wing, are you?

[Gobb]

Is it just me or did we not have an update yesterday?

It's just you: http://forums.cybernations.net/index.php?s...t&p=1939497

[Tushar Dhoot]

It's just you: http://forums.cybernations.net/index.php?s...t&p=1939497

Thanks

[Drai]

This foreshadows nothing at all.

Roll purple!

Or Bel Air.

[maicke]

Roll purple!

Or Bel Air.

Or both?

[Gopherbashi]

October 31, 2009

1 [232] (+1) The Order Of The Paradox : 57.37 --> 57.51 (+0.14)

2 [574] (-3) Sparta : 52.86 --> 52.94 (+0.08)

3 [639] (+3) Mostly Harmless Alliance : 52.64 --> 52.83 (+0.19)

4 [423] (-3) New Polar Order : 50.87 --> 50.86 (-0.01)

5 [526] (-5) Independent Republic Of Orange Nations : 45.49 --> 45.49 (+0.00)

6 [364] (+1) Orange Defense Network : 37.27 --> 37.41 (+0.14)

7 [304] (-2) Fark : 35.04 --> 35.23 (+0.19)

8 [274] (+2) Green Protection Agency : 33.20 --> 33.28 (+0.08)

9 [636] (-5) New Pacific Order : 33.13 --> 33.06 (-0.07)

10 [239] (+0) FOK : 29.78 --> 29.83 (+0.05)

{175} (-1) Mushroom Kingdom : 28.87 --> 28.79 (-0.08)

11 [236] (-1) World Task Force : 28.53 --> 28.57 (+0.04)

12 [245] (+2) The Order Of Light : 28.08 --> 28.21 (+0.13)

---------------

13 [454] (+0) The Democratic Order : 27.77 --> 27.85 (+0.08)

14 [301] (+0) Viridian Entente : 26.82 --> 27.07 (+0.25)

15 [403] (-1) The Legion : 24.61 --> 24.67 (+0.06)

---------- Tier Barrier 1 : 23.08 --> 23.21 (+0.13)

[306] (+3) Ragnarok : 23.01 --> 23.13 (+0.12)

[337] (-4) Global Alliance And Treaty Organization : 22.82 --> 22.76 (-0.06)

{199} (-1) Commonwealth Of Sovereign Nations : 20.52 --> 20.54 (+0.02)

{179} (+1) Athens : 20.23 --> 20.30 (+0.07)

{75} (+0) The Grämlins : 19.97 --> 19.99 (+0.02)

[232] (+2) Multicolored Cross-X Alliance : 19.37 --> 19.44 (+0.07)

[228] (-6) United Purple Nations : 19.46 --> 18.52 (-0.94)

---------- Tier Barrier 2 : 18.08 --> 18.21 (+0.13)

[235] (-3) Random Insanity Alliance : 18.06 --> 18.06 (+0.00)

{184} (-1) Siberian Tiger Alliance : 17.62 --> 17.44 (-0.18)

{189} (+0) Invicta : 16.75 --> 16.84 (+0.09)

{159} (+1) North Atlantic Defense Coalition : 15.81 --> 15.83 (+0.02)

[220] (-2) RnR : 15.71 --> 15.69 (-0.02)

{124} (+0) M*A*S*H : 15.61 --> 15.63 (+0.02)

{142} (+0) We Are Perth Army : 15.03 --> 15.05 (+0.02)

{121} (+0) Nueva Vida : 14.85 --> 14.86 (+0.01)

{178} (-1) Monos Archein : 14.15 --> 14.16 (+0.01)

---------- Add Line : 14.04 --> 14.11 (+0.07)

{67} (+0) Umbrella : 13.98 --> 14.00 (+0.02)

---------- Drop Line : 13.74 --> 13.80 (+0.06)

Statistics

Sanction Race Daily Growth: 895.28 --> 895.84 (0.06%)

Sanctioned Alliances Daily Growth: 484.26 --> 485.22 (0.20%)

Biggest Gainer

Viridian Entente (+0.25)

Biggest Loser

United Purple Nations (-0.94)

Passes of the Day

Multicolored Cross-X Alliance passes United Purple Nations

Commentary

The Order Of The Paradox leads us off today with one of more than a half dozen beautiful gains, gaining nearly a sixth of a point in today's competition. Sparta has a solid gain, but it pales in comparison to that of the Mostly Harmless Alliance, who cuts the distance to second place in half with a fifth-of-a-point gain. Two of our usual gainers, the New Polar Order and the Independent Republic Of Orange Nations, seem to have stalled today, as the Orange Defense Network, Fark, and The Order Of Light also post double-digit gains.

Not doing so well today is the New Pacific Order, which loses five nations to open up nearly a quarter-point gap between themselves and the Green Protection Agency. Also moving backwards today is the Mushroom Kingdom, who comes back to within a quarter-point of the World Task Force.

As mentioned earlier, the Viridian Entente does exceptionally well today, posting a quarter-point gain and bringing themselves to within three-quarters of a point from The Democratic Order and 13th place. Ragnarok continues to blast upwards, and could move into Tier One by tomorrow. The United Purple Nations slips one place, losing nearly a full point as they lost a splinter off somewhere. Down in Tier Three, the Siberian Tiger Alliance loses a fifth of a point, while Invicta will be happy to post nearly a double-digit gain as they recover from a few days of bad losses.

For those wondering, the Nusantara Elite Warriors were 0.02 points short of today's Update.

----------

Related Links:

Stats By Unspeakable Evil

Tournament Edition Sanction Race

How To Update the Amazing Sanction Race

Sanction Race Update Creator spreadsheet: http://spreadsheets.google.com/ccc?key=pFd...rmXWQ&hl=en

[/update]

[Seth Muscarella]

go MHA!

[Burnsey]

C'mon NEW make it up here with us

[Gopherbashi]

I've also done a little bit of number-crunching and come up with the way things might look a month from now. Values are based on mean movement over the past month, and the range at the end of each line is based on how things should theoretically turn out 95% of the time (as long as there's no giant war, and as long as I did the math right for those, which I may not have).

Predictions for November 2009

1 The Order Of The Paradox : 57.51 --> 61.01 (+3.50) (60.57 - 61.46)

2 Mostly Harmless Alliance : 52.83 --> 55.15 (+2.32) (54.88 - 55.42)

3 Sparta : 52.94 --> 55.08 (+2.14) (54.67 - 55.48)

4 New Polar Order : 50.86 --> 52.59 (+1.73) (52.27 - 52.91)

5 Independent Republic Of Orange Nations : 45.49 --> 48.50 (+3.01) (38.77 - 39.11)

6 Orange Defense Network : 37.41 --> 38.94 (+1.53) (38.77 - 39.11)

7 Fark : 35.23 --> 37.22 (+1.99) (37.12 - 37.33)

8 New Pacific Order : 33.06 --> 35.06 (+2.00) (34.85 - 35.28)

9 Green Protection Agency : 33.28 --> 34.90 (+1.62) (34.75 - 35.04)

Mushroom Kingdom : 28.79 --> 32.04 (+3.25) (31.57 - 32.51)

10 FOK : 29.83 --> 31.18 (+1.35) (31.10 - 31.25)

11 The Order Of Light : 28.21 --> 29.63 (+1.42) (29.45 - 29.82)

12 World Task Force : 28.57 --> 29.02 (+0.45) (28.82 - 29.21)

---------------

13 Viridian Entente : 27.07 --> 28.79 (+1.72) (28.60 - 28.99)

14 The Democratic Order : 27.85 --> 27.28 (-0.57) (27.06 - 27.49)

15 The Legion : 24.67 --> 25.85 (+1.18) (25.67 - 26.03)

Ragnarok : 23.13 --> 25.61 (+2.48) (25.30 - 25.92)

---------- Tier Barrier 1 : 23.21 --> 24.02 (+0.81)

Global Alliance And Treaty Organization : 22.76 --> 23.65 (+0.89) (23.54 - 23.76)

Commonwealth Of Sovereign Nations : 20.54 --> 22.21 (+1.67) (22.04 - 22.38)

Athens : 20.30 --> 21.62 (+1.32) (21.54 - 21.69)

Multicolored Cross-X Alliance : 19.44 --> 20.13 (+0.69) (20.02 - 20.24)

Random Insanity Alliance : 18.06 --> 19.33 (+1.27) (19.25 - 19.40)

The Grämlins : 19.99 --> 19.06 (-0.93) (18.72 - 19.40)

---------- Tier Barrier 2 : 18.21 --> 19.02 (+0.81)

Siberian Tiger Alliance : 17.44 --> 17.59 (+0.15) (17.45 - 17.74)

United Purple Nations : 18.52 --> 17.40 (-1.12) (17.00 - 17.79)

North Atlantic Defense Coalition : 15.83 --> 16.46 (+0.63) (16.33 - 16.59)

RnR : 15.69 --> 16.19 (+0.50) (16.06 - 16.32)

M*A*S*H : 15.63 --> 16.16 (+0.53) (16.09 - 16.23)

Invicta : 16.84 --> 15.63 (-1.21) (15.33 - 15.93)

We Are Perth Army : 15.05 --> 15.52 (+0.47) (15.47 - 15.58)

Nueva Vida : 14.86 --> 15.26 (+0.40) (15.08 - 15.43)

---------- Add Line : 14.11 --> 14.51 (+0.40)

---------- Drop Line : 13.81 --> 14.21 (+0.40)

Umbrella : 14.00 --> 13.49 (-0.51) (13.26 - 13.71)

Monos Archein : 14.16 --> 10.52 (-3.64) (10.02 - 11.03)

Edited November 1, 2009 by Gopherbashi

[Jack Diorno]

If CSN is still ahead of us in a month I'll be so depressed, I'll eat a whole tub of icecream while watching an Oprah marathon.

Edited November 1, 2009 by Jack Diorno

[Archon]

Out of mild curiosity, Gopher, do your computations have MK reaching 200 members in Nov?

[Gopherbashi]

Out of mild curiosity, Gopher, do your computations have MK reaching 200 members in Nov?

I do not, my calculations only included score. However, MK has gained 19 members since September 1st, and if we assume that you gain members at that same rate, I would predict that you'd get to 200 around January 20th.

[Azrael Alexander]

I do not, my calculations only included score. However, MK has gained 19 members since September 1st, and if we assume that you gain members at that same rate, I would predict that you'd get to 200 around January 20th.

If only it were as simple as that, interesting that it seems by your predictions the growth of polaris will plateau, out of interest if you did a prediction before gopher would you be able to check how accurate they are? As while there will allwyas be things you can't predict i think or the most part they make sense.

[Gopherbashi]

If only it were as simple as that, interesting that it seems by your predictions the growth of polaris will plateau, out of interest if you did a prediction before gopher would you be able to check how accurate they are? As while there will allwyas be things you can't predict i think or the most part they make sense.

It's not that simple, but history is the best thing we have to rely on. Let me try a test for September and see what I come up with.

Edited November 1, 2009 by Gopherbashi

[crushtania]

Yet MHA is still 3rd on that chart but in 2nd position. Weird...