Ok, I'll make this simple. Coincidence held back on the attack because they know that they'll be massively countered soon. Supercompliants has much more NS in reserve than Coincidence. NAAC made the mistake in GWII and over-deployed their forces, I don't think Coincidence will do that. They know they'll be fighting soon, they are holding as much in reserve as possible. Why over-extend yourself in a war where you are at a significant NS advantage? It doesn't make sense
Honestly, sometimes I really think a lot of people are just being purposely obtuse to try to score PR points. I hope to God anyway.