Alliances witha majority of low ANS and low nuke/tech will drop dead, including rok/ve/tool and especially tdo. If we're going to do this properly, IRON will take up the leader position, NPO will be gangbanged after spreading hatred around them, and IRONs nations is stronger on a individual basis.
I also predicts a hard hit for mcxa, the internal problems will be the anvil, and the wr the hammer that with shatter the alliance. I seriously doubt the return of the NpO, but i'm open minded on that one..
Overall, i'd predict a large amount of small elite alliances on planet bob after "the next war", mass alliances will more or less get curbed one after one, the only way of protecting agains that is a lot of nukes, tech and superior organisation/communication. Hopefully, this will also terminate the mdp web, but i'm seriously doubtful about that.
Oh, and ourselves (Top) then.. i'd say nr 2 directrly after the war (after IRON), and then after a while number three after NPO or MHA depending of how good these come out of the war.