Cheesehead Dave Posted February 4, 2010 Report Share Posted February 4, 2010 Is the SDI success just a straight up 60% calculation, or are there other factors at work? I ask because of this: [img]http://www.ikrug.com/clippings/clipping201023215217.jpg[/img] 11 nukes required before I finally hit? I can't possibly be [i]that[/i] unlucky, can I? Does something else affect the SDI's success? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Decomposition Posted February 4, 2010 Report Share Posted February 4, 2010 Well the odds of 10 thwarted attacks in a row are roughly 1:170. This is obviously low but to be expected to happen a couple of times when hundreds of people are lobbing nukes all over the show. Would be interesting if others have had similar poor odds. I remember about two years ago there seemed to be problems with the "randomness" of events - I think I went through about 5 months without any events before it got fixed. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Viluin Posted February 4, 2010 Report Share Posted February 4, 2010 (edited) I seriously do not trust the SDI's "randomness". During the entire life of my nation mine has always been crap, I'd say it has blocked maybe 40% of the ~125 nukes launched at me, and my enemies always block way more than me. During the karma war there were 2 separate weeks that my SDI blocked no nukes whatsoever. 0.4^7.. the odds are less than 0.2%, and it happened twice. Yesterday I shot 7 nukes at someone before I gave up and told my friend to try. I must be cursed somehow. Edited February 4, 2010 by Viluin Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thedestro Posted February 4, 2010 Report Share Posted February 4, 2010 RL curses do cross over to CN When I launch nukes, I also make it on about the 3rd launch Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SynthFG Posted February 4, 2010 Report Share Posted February 4, 2010 (edited) Could be worse, This morning at 11:58 server timeI realised I could actualy nuke the OG guy who had declared on me yesterday, (in my defence 5:58am local) Fortunatly his SDI failed to stop the nuke I launched at 11:59:30, or the one I launched 1min later for that matter, Then my other 2 opponents also took one nuke each despite SDI's Kind of makes up for mine blocking all of 2 in the last week Edited February 4, 2010 by SynthFG Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lord n00b II Posted February 9, 2010 Report Share Posted February 9, 2010 Assuming that each shot is independent of each other, using a binomial model the chances of this happening are .6[sup]10[/sup] or about .6%. So, not impossible but quite unlucky. Sorry dude Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kswiss2783 Posted February 15, 2010 Report Share Posted February 15, 2010 My SDI is terrible. I think it's blocked 2 nukes this war. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baldr Posted February 16, 2010 Report Share Posted February 16, 2010 For all of you who are saying "My SDI hardly blocks anything", I'm evening out the stats. Mine is doing great. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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