Olreich Posted April 13, 2008 Report Share Posted April 13, 2008 How often are random events supposed to occur? Is it supposed to be a % chance of getting one upon collecting taxes or what and if so, what is the percentage? I'm currently at roughly 1:300 ratio of event to no event upon collecting taxes. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fort Pitt Posted April 14, 2008 Report Share Posted April 14, 2008 its just purely random... some people get one every week, others like me have gotten 3 in their lifetime... and some get none... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thedestro Posted April 14, 2008 Report Share Posted April 14, 2008 10% chance I've been told. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Decomposition Posted April 14, 2008 Report Share Posted April 14, 2008 There have been quite a few threads on this and much statistical analysis. The consensus seems to be: 1) The overall rate is very definitely NOT 10% - closer to 2% 2) Some nations appear to get more events than others and this difference between event rates is greater than the natural variation you would expect to see if the likelihood of getting events was equal for all nations. 3) There appears to be a "clumping" effect - if you get one event it increases the likelihood of getting another event in the next few days. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fort Pitt Posted April 14, 2008 Report Share Posted April 14, 2008 (edited) yeah, a few people have gotten 3 events in 3 days Edited April 14, 2008 by Fort Pitt Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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