If any of you have passed say, ninth grade history, you will have learned that in the course of human events, most great empires were there by significant luck. Rome was handed civilization on a silver platter, while africa was given one of the most greuling circumstances for empire building. That is a part of life, and unexpected things happen all the time in RL, plus, we should be glad it is 50/50 for good and bad, cause most things now adays can only hurt a nation, rarely do they help them. We need to cope with losses (what do you think our complex government is for?)