Lysistrata Posted October 1, 2017 Report Share Posted October 1, 2017 Thank you! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Oloros Posted October 3, 2017 Report Share Posted October 3, 2017 Thank you, Rakul! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chintan Posted October 7, 2017 Report Share Posted October 7, 2017 Ever wondered how the moon & mars hotspots are found every month? I created a Google sheet that lets you enter coordinates that have been tested, and uses them to narrow down the possibilities for the hotspot location, and even gives you probabilities so you know how likely each one is to be the actual hotspot. People use it to find the hotspot every month. Get the latest version here (updated based on everything up to October 2017): Moon & Mars Hotspot Finder You'll have to save a copy (File -> Make a copy...) to use it. And you'll have to give it a few seconds to calculate after entering your test points. The moon hotspot affects the mars hotspot a LOT, and vice versa. In fact, if one hotspot is found, the number of possibilities for the other one is reduced to 4 maximum (often fewer), and because of the skewed probability distribution, you can usually find the hotspot in 1 try. So definitely check out the other thread. Most people don't realize that the other celestial body affects them. I update the Google Sheet most months, so be sure to get the latest version periodically. The most important change is that I enter the hotspots that have been observed in previous months, and previously observed hotspots have a MUCH higher probability. Also, occasionally the floating point rounding error isn't correct, and I correct that. Smaller changes are changes to the probability distribution based on newly observed hotspots, and occasional elimination of possibilities (usually these are VERY low probability points that are eliminated). If you're curious how I came up with the data for the Google Sheet: The list of possible hotspot locations is based on the fact that all the possibilities fall on a line (in the 4 dimensional space of moon lat, moon lon, mars lat, mars lon) . I have code to determine the possible range for the intercept of the line, and then figure out what points can lie on the line based on the possible intercepts. The probabilities come from a Bayesian model, which assumes uniform prior for all intercepts, and assumes the hotspots are chosen by picking a point on the continuous line with uniform distribution, and then rounding all coordinates to the nearest integer to get the hotspot locations. Let me know if you want to know more or have any questions. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OldSelf Posted November 1, 2017 Report Share Posted November 1, 2017 November 1st, 2017 &lat=45&lon=125 100% Confirmed Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rakul Posted November 1, 2017 Report Share Posted November 1, 2017 Many thanks! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lysistrata Posted November 1, 2017 Report Share Posted November 1, 2017 Thanks! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Technate Posted November 1, 2017 Report Share Posted November 1, 2017 Thanks! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sirchinny Posted November 2, 2017 Report Share Posted November 2, 2017 Thanks a lot!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Oloros Posted November 2, 2017 Report Share Posted November 2, 2017 Thank you, OldSelf. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rakul Posted December 1, 2017 Report Share Posted December 1, 2017 (edited) Location unchanged. Edited December 1, 2017 by Rakul Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Oloros Posted December 2, 2017 Report Share Posted December 2, 2017 Thanks. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Colin Myrhh Posted January 1, 2018 Report Share Posted January 1, 2018 For January 1, 2018 try this. I already found the moon base location. Mars Lat Mars Lon Probability 17.99999998 69 49.53487% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahmah Posted January 1, 2018 Report Share Posted January 1, 2018 I've confirmed Mars coordinates at 100% for Jan. 2018: January, 2018 &lat=17.99999998&lon=68 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rakul Posted January 1, 2018 Report Share Posted January 1, 2018 Thanks, you two... and Happy New Year! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Oloros Posted January 1, 2018 Report Share Posted January 1, 2018 Thanks! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alaric Illyricum Posted February 1, 2018 Report Share Posted February 1, 2018 February 2018 &lat=76&lon=-167 not confirmed but with 62% probability, 76 / -169 is 37% probability prev attempts lat / lon / effectiveness: 18 / 68 / 50% 75 / -170 / 99% 74 / -172 / 98% 76 / -168 / 99% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rakul Posted February 1, 2018 Report Share Posted February 1, 2018 February 1st, 2018 &lat=76&lon=-167 100% Confirmed Thanks for the research, Alaric. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lysistrata Posted February 1, 2018 Report Share Posted February 1, 2018 Thanks again! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Oloros Posted February 4, 2018 Report Share Posted February 4, 2018 Thank you, as always! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alaric Illyricum Posted March 1, 2018 Report Share Posted March 1, 2018 March 2018 100% confirmed lat=9.99999999&lon=52 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moose Hole Posted March 1, 2018 Report Share Posted March 1, 2018 Me too thanks. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Oloros Posted March 2, 2018 Report Share Posted March 2, 2018 Thank you! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Galerion Posted April 2, 2018 Report Share Posted April 2, 2018 April 2018 100% confirmed &lat=-72.00000001&lon=-122 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rakul Posted April 2, 2018 Report Share Posted April 2, 2018 Thanks, Galerion! I was just getting ready to post to see if anyone had some attempt spots that needed testing. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lysistrata Posted April 2, 2018 Report Share Posted April 2, 2018 Thanks again! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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