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zoskia

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That’s over a hundred in two weeks and twelve in six hours!

Did Nostradadmin predict this?  I’ve seen second generation rulers creating new armies.

How long til we see 35,000+ nations?

 

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2936!

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2947

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2969

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On 1/4/2020 at 6:50 PM, tehol said:

2654 nations

 

Up to 3014 in just 5 months! We'll be back to 5 figures in no time!

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I would love to see a graph of these numbers some day. Perhaps after CN has recovered all its glory

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2922! And it crashes back down as states reopen?

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2906! 

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2826. Nosedive recommences! 

Edited by tehol

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Kind of remarkable given there's still 10+ new nations made every single day, and assuming a fair bit of the ones that don't stick still take the full length of time to slowly expire into inactivity.

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On 5/14/2020 at 4:10 PM, tehol said:

I would love to see a graph of these numbers some day. Perhaps after CN has recovered all its glory

 

CN.png

 

Mid July 2011 to now.

 

Over the past year we've only lost a net total of ~100 nations. Based on the trend we're likely going to float in the 2600-2800 range for quite a while; at the least until another alliance or group of players decide it's time to go out swinging. Those events tend to not only see those nations disappear, but some of the opposing nations quit after war sets them back weeks or months of development.

 

Current average rate of nation loss shows CN lasting to spring 2022, though realistically there will probably still be some nations through 2025 if the lights stay on.

Edited by LordSunday
Fixed math error

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1 hour ago, LordSunday said:

 

CN.png

 

Mid July 2011 to now.

 

Over the past year we've only lost a net total of ~100 nations. Based on the trend we're likely going to float in the 2600-2800 range for quite a while; at the least until another alliance or group of players decide it's time to go out swinging. Those events tend to not only see those nations disappear, but some of the opposing nations quit after war sets them back weeks or months of development.

 

Current average rate of nation loss shows CN lasting to spring 2022, though realistically there will probably still be some nations through 2025 if the lights stay on.

 

20200701-211556.jpg

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I'm going to start keeping an idea of nations created in the past week when taking notes of total nations. Curious to see how much of the fluctuation in the numbers is due simply to the amount/lack of players signing up in a given week and players who signed up a month ago moving into inactivity.

 

There's only probably around 2,100-2,300 active nations honestly. You assume 100-150 (which I think is actually a little higher than average) nations get made a week and it takes just over 4 weeks from last logging in to go inactive. That leaves us with 400-600 nations who are at various points of the inactive countdown in game at any given time. Take that from our player count and suddenly Bob just got a heck of a lot smaller...

 

Another interesting note: we're now at the point that more nations have nukes than don't (58.7%). If you take the more conservative end of the "active" nation count it turns into over two-thirds of nations (70.5%). Every nation could get nuked 12 times right now and there would still be some to spare!

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Luckily admin started including activity stats in the daily export files, so we can see exactly how many people are active. 

 

2yVpnKu.png

 

It looks like it's roughly what you expected. Only around 1500 nations are truly active right now, but we can more or less assume that the "Active This Week" and "Active Last Week" nations can be considered still active players in the grand scheme of things, which puts it right around 2300 "active" nations. 

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