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Using the spreadsheet that got linked on the last page following the average loss per day between 2011 and now CN's death date falls around mid-April 2021. However, as pointed out before the curve of nation loss is evening out. I agree there is a threshold somewhere in the lower 2,000s that won't be passed for a long time (or until the plug gets pulled). As an example, if the average loss per day from the beginning of 2018 until now is used the death date changes to August 1, 2023.