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Chintan

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    Chintanland
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    World Task Force
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  1. For those who missed it: &lat=39.99999999&lon=-57 gives 100% &lat=39.9999999&lon=-57 gives 99% Get the number of 9's right!
  2. Try these (I think Scify missed a 9): &lat=39.99999999&long=-57 &lat=40.00000001&long=-57 &lat=39.99999998&long=-57 &lat=40.00000002&long=-57 &lat=39.99999997&long=-57 &lat=40.00000003&long=-57 EDIT: Scify definitely missed a 9. He tried: &lat=39.9999999&long=-57 &lat=40&long=-57 &lat=39.99999999&long=-56
  3. Ever wondered how the moon & mars hotspots are found every month? I created a Google sheet that lets you enter coordinates that have been tested, and uses them to narrow down the possibilities for the hotspot location, and even gives you probabilities so you know how likely each one is to be the actual hotspot. People use it to find the hotspot every month. Get the latest version here (updated based on everything up to October 2017): Moon & Mars Hotspot Finder You'll have to save a copy (File -> Make a copy...) to use it. And you'll have to give it a few seconds to calculate after entering your test points. The moon hotspot affects the mars hotspot a LOT, and vice versa. In fact, if one hotspot is found, the number of possibilities for the other one is reduced to 4 maximum (often fewer), and because of the skewed probability distribution, you can usually find the hotspot in 1 try. So definitely check out the other thread. Most people don't realize that the other celestial body affects them. I update the Google Sheet most months, so be sure to get the latest version periodically. The most important change is that I enter the hotspots that have been observed in previous months, and previously observed hotspots have a MUCH higher probability. Also, occasionally the floating point rounding error isn't correct, and I correct that. Smaller changes are changes to the probability distribution based on newly observed hotspots, and occasional elimination of possibilities (usually these are VERY low probability points that are eliminated). If you're curious how I came up with the data for the Google Sheet: The list of possible hotspot locations is based on the fact that all the possibilities fall on a line (in the 4 dimensional space of moon lat, moon lon, mars lat, mars lon) . I have code to determine the possible range for the intercept of the line, and then figure out what points can lie on the line based on the possible intercepts. The probabilities come from a Bayesian model, which assumes uniform prior for all intercepts, and assumes the hotspots are chosen by picking a point on the continuous line with uniform distribution, and then rounding all coordinates to the nearest integer to get the hotspot locations. Let me know if you want to know more or have any questions.
  4. Ever wondered how the moon & mars hotspots are found every month? I created a Google sheet that lets you enter coordinates that have been tested, and uses them to narrow down the possibilities for the hotspot location, and even gives you probabilities so you know how likely each one is to be the actual hotspot. People use it to find the hotspot every month. Get the latest version here (updated based on everything up to October 2017): Moon & Mars Hotspot Finder You'll have to save a copy (File -> Make a copy...) to use it. And you'll have to give it a few seconds to calculate after entering your test points. The moon hotspot affects the mars hotspot a LOT, and vice versa. In fact, if one hotspot is found, the number of possibilities for the other one is reduced to 4 maximum (often fewer), and because of the skewed probability distribution, you can usually find the hotspot in 1 try. So definitely check out the other thread. Most people don't realize that the other celestial body affects them. I update the Google Sheet most months, so be sure to get the latest version periodically. The most important change is that I enter the hotspots that have been observed in previous months, and previously observed hotspots have a MUCH higher probability. Also, occasionally the floating point rounding error isn't correct, and I correct that. Smaller changes are changes to the probability distribution based on newly observed hotspots, and occasional elimination of possibilities (usually these are VERY low probability points that are eliminated). If you're curious how I came up with the data for the Google Sheet: The list of possible hotspot locations is based on the fact that all the possibilities fall on a line (in the 4 dimensional space of moon lat, moon lon, mars lat, mars lon) . I have code to determine the possible range for the intercept of the line, and then figure out what points can lie on the line based on the possible intercepts. The probabilities come from a Bayesian model, which assumes uniform prior for all intercepts, and assumes the hotspots are chosen by picking a point on the continuous line with uniform distribution, and then rounding all coordinates to the nearest integer to get the hotspot locations. Let me know if you want to know more or have any questions.
  5. Try these: &lat=74&lon=16 &lat=75&lon=17 &lat=75&lon=16
  6. I made several updates to the Moon & Mars hotspot finder: Latitude -41 now corrects to -40.99999997 based on what we discovered from May 2017's Mars hotspot 34 of the possibilities have been eliminated based on March 2017's hotspots. There are now 1282 possibilities total instead of 1316. Added all observed hotspots up to May 2017 Minor probability update Get the latest version here: Moon & Mars Hotspot Finder You'll have to save a copy (File -> Make a copy...) to use it. And you'll have to give it a few seconds to calculate after entering your test points.
  7. I made several updates to the Moon & Mars hotspot finder: Latitude -41 now corrects to -40.99999997 based on what we discovered from May 2017's Mars hotspot 34 of the possibilities have been eliminated based on March 2017's hotspots. There are now 1282 possibilities total instead of 1316. Added all observed hotspots up to May 2017 Minor probability update Get the latest version here: Moon & Mars Hotspot Finder You'll have to save a copy (File -> Make a copy...) to use it. And you'll have to give it a few seconds to calculate after entering your test points.
  8. It's -41, 57 but with a floating point correction. The longtitude never has a floating point correction. Only the latitude does. Try these: &lat=-40.99999995&lon=-57 &lat=-40.99999996&lon=-57 &lat=-40.99999997&lon=-57 &lat=-40.99999998&lon=-57 &lat=-41.00000001&lon=-57 &lat=-41.00000002&lon=-57 &lat=-41.00000003&lon=-57 &lat=-41.00000004&lon=-57 &lat=-41.00000005&lon=-57 Also, because of the weirdness of floating point math, multiple locations will give 100% (and that's always the case every month, but usually people stop looking once one 100% spot is found cause there's really no reason to continue except for scientific purposes).
  9. Is anyone looking for the moon hotspot? Try these: &lat=46&lon=-45 (72.3% likely to be the hotspot) &lat=46&lon=-44 (18.7% likely to be the hotspot) &lat=45&lon=-45 (9.0% likely to be the hotspot)
  10. You're welcome! btw, are people with Mars wonders looking at the moon thread and vice versa? This month's Moon hotspot was found, and entering into the spreadsheet will MASSIVELY narrow down the search for the Mars hotspot.
  11. I made several updates to the Moon & Mars hotspot finder. Most importantly, I added a floating point correction for 55 so it corrects it to 54.99999999, because this month we discovered that 55 doesn't work but 54.99999999 does. Get the latest version to avoid the same confusion we had while finding this month's hotspots. I also added all the observed hotspots up to January 2017 and updated the probabilities. Get the latest version here: Moon & Mars Hotspot Finder You'll have to save a copy (File -> Make a copy...) to use it. And you'll have to give it a few seconds to calculate after entering your test points.
  12. I made several updates to the Moon & Mars hotspot finder. Most importantly, I added a floating point correction for 55 so it corrects it to 54.99999999, because this month we discovered that 55 doesn't work but 54.99999999 does. Get the latest version to avoid the same confusion we had while finding this month's hotspots. I also added all the observed hotspots up to January 2017 and updated the probabilities. Get the latest version here: Moon & Mars Hotspot Finder You'll have to save a copy (File -> Make a copy...) to use it. And you'll have to give it a few seconds to calculate after entering your test points.
  13. Moon Hotspot Location (January 2017):(-84.00000002, 38) URL Segment: &lat=-84.00000002&lon=38
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