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Let now all lies of multipolarity be put to rest


Schattenmann

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A week or so ago Triyun wrote the blog "The Post Karma Lie of Multi-Polarity." You may have missed it. Like all serious blogs are (as will this one) it was quickly knocked out of sight by the daily swarm of "I'm gay look at me," "What I had for dinner," and "My favorite band" blogs. Ah, well.

I didn't completely agree with the argument as laid out, though the thesis was correct. The idea that there is more than one power pole is a lie. And tonight, with C&G's magnificent acrobatics to join Doomhouse's aggressive war, let now all lies of multipolarity be put to rest.

The simple fact of the matter is that multi-polarity is a lie. Anyone that claims that there are lots of different poles is either lying for some benefit, or is an oblivious idiot. Eyriq from Basketball Ninjas comes to mind.

Right now, it's PB-C&G-DH-SF(If they survive the war and GOD's duplicity) and then a bunch of disparate rag-tag AAs with sloppy foreign policies which just happen to create a big chaining nightmare, not any poles or a second side.

All anyone has to do to see this is read a thread like TGE's declaration of war http://forums.cybernations.net/index.php?showtopic=98249 or any of the surrender threads from the VE curbstomp of Polaris. The alliances supposed to make up the second pole/"side" (I really hate that word but it's the common term recently) all hate each other to the point that they're literally doing the barest minimum in terms of their treaties (those who haven't ignored them) then surrendering to get away and get as much distance from everyone else as possible. There is no second (third, or greater number) pole.

Last night BarbulaM1 remarked that post-war GATO is going to be focusing on really building Synergy; I was aghast. I assume that he knows what he's talking about as a former Assembly Chairman and only recently departed for ODN, but whoever in GATO told him that is an absolute idiot if they think IAA or the rest of Synergy has any interest in strengthening ties with the alliance that hung them out to dry with its surrender.

Many people--smart guys within them included--say that once the war is over Duckroll is going to be a strong second pole or counterweight. Sure, when they feel like it. Their problem is that they are stuck with feet on two ice drifts headed in opposite directions: The old sign-as-many-MDPs-as-possible and the new create-a-small-focused-sphere. Until they plant both feet in the same place, they will continue to be an anachronistic holdover whose allies can count on them for a pat on the back, no less, and certainly no more. But a strong pole? Not hardly. Either way, if anyone thinks Duckroll is big, unified, or smart enough to handle PB-DH-C&G, they're just giving themselves a reassuring hug.

Months ago, I tried to get things going on an independent bloc with some promising AAs from the #stratego channel, noting that with PB then on the horizon, "The sad fact of the matter is that once Pandora becomes the dominant power on Digiterra--and that will be the day the bloc is announced--alliances will begin to align themselves in the Pandora sphere, just as alliances tied themselves to WUT in its time, and Continuum in its. They will trade their values for Pandora's in exchange for security, and they will enable Pandora in exchange for a share in the spoils [reps and gloating]."

Well, here we are. Following the war you can expect a flurry of treaties with C&G and PB alliances. There will be cantankerous cancellations by the alliances which have fought on Polaris' or Pacifica's "sides" leaving those alliances more fractured and vulnerable than before while many of them put on their best crap-eating grins and line up behind those alliances in PB, DH, C&G, and SF that they perceive as big daddies.

And so the march to hegemony will continue on. VE/PB and MK/Doomhouse will pat themselves on the back and laud their strategic acumen, but in reality they have only followed in Papa Orders' footsteps, after all, they can only hope to be as good as the best.

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You seem to have an oddly... dare I say it? Optional... view of treaties. Are you honestly telling me, that you approve of alliances going "You know, that CB doesn't seem coherent. I'm not going to honor my treaty or defend my friends."

Even leaving aside the fact that ive never seen one side approve of the others CB *ever* in CN. That claims of 'that cb is weak' seems like war dodging to me. Even leaving that aside. Are you honestly implying to me that a MDP can and should be treated like trash because of the CB?

If so, then i'm sorry to say our views on Treaties, Friendship, and Honor are simply not compatible.

When UPN wanted to go to war you had a very different position, didn't you? Or you already forgot that you payed reps without UPN consenting just to avoid the obligation of defend UPN?

ODN values friendship and honor just regarding their treaties with the bigger side of an war, nothing new.

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You contradict yourself. The fact that they are an ineffectual bunch who are incapable of working together, managing their alliances, or outputting enough damage does not make them any less of a "side". Post war, you may be correct, though there is no way to tell at the moment, but prior to this conflict and as it stands now, yes there are two sides.

The mere fact that NPO and allies required a completely separate declaration to enter the war completely disproves this. If there was any "this side, that side" mentality at all, NPO would have jumped into the war days after the initial declaration. Thus, they constitute two separate "mini-poles" that would stand quite well if it weren't for the massiveness of the DH-PB pole.

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As I said CN was down :;shrugs::

You clearly didnt pick up the sarcasm/joking manner of my comment to Mhawk.

Let me spell the point out here. Anyway you slice it, if an alliance comes in via an MDP or a MA they are acting in the correct manner. To accuse them of doing otherwise when there are no Ghost DOW, no optional treaties being used... just straight forward MDP/MA.... and you are saying they acted wrongly? Then I say it is you who are wrong.

If that is the case and you are accusing them of shady dealings you have a double standard or an Agenda to push.

Short and simple. And on that note i'll leave you to your debate about poles or whatever else.

i never stated anything remotely close to what you are talking about here. if that is what you meant to say to Mhawk, aiight. but that has nothing to do with what i said.

Realistically, I think the only way for this to be overcome would be by mutual venture. The other poles would have to agree to fight the DH/PB/CnG-dominant world, then agree to go their separate ways afterward. Of course, this wouldn't have to be as obvious, it could really just happen by proxy if all the poles would be roped into a curbstomp together. For instance, if Duckroll joined the current war on the Pacific/Polar sides, DH would be overwhelmed, and the splitup of themega-pole could occur through careful moves by the multi-poles.

well for that to happen sufficiently, IRON would have to go on the opposite side of TOP. and even then, if DR joined in against DH, they may be larger than DH but you still have CnG to worry about. there won't be much of a split as it would just cause CnG to saddle up against DR as well as DH being against DR.

If I recall correctly, Citadel where mostly uninvolved in politics, 1V had four members, and Q could have taken probably the rest of the world alone.

And the theory was Schattenmann's, not mine. Although I agree.

TOP was very much involved in politics and Gre was as well. Argent, OG, and Umbrella were to an extent. Q could not have taken on the world by itself which is why it died when it faced the rest of the world (minus TOP who did not join on Q's side). so your hypothesis there was already proven wrong by Karma.

1V had 4 members, DH has 3 that is not much of a difference. 3 members of 1V were part of Q (after Polaris was booted) while 1 (GGA) was not. the theory may have been Schatt's but you disagreed. and somehow agree with me when i state that PB/DH/SF/CnG constitute a single pole.

We gave our support to Poison Clan within the first 24 hours of the initial declaration of war. Burn for Polaris? hahahahaa. No.

oh i get that mate. but IAA, GATO, and TIO are not Polaris. :P anyways, i have no real issues with what CnG did as i already figured ya'll to be on PB's side. my posts were just about OsRavan calling Mhawk on optional treaties.

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Schattenmann: when you call out individual alliances or blocs and in general make obviously false statements about them in your argument, it doesn't make sense to later claim, "That wasn't the point!" when someone reminds you that you were lying. If you want people to stay focused on the point of your argument, you should try maybe telling the truth through the whole thing.

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Not really no.

Honestly yea I think so. The war was/is tight already if it was Pacifica and co./Duckroll/TOP and Argent/Polar/Synergy/RoK vs. SF/CnG/Doomhouse/PB. I think the Polar side has a statistical advantage.

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Honestly yea I think so. The war was/is tight already if it was Pacifica and co./Duckroll/TOP and Argent/Polar/Synergy/RoK vs. SF/CnG/Doomhouse/PB. I think the Polar side has a statistical advantage.

TOP would never fight for Polaris particularly given their tie to MK. Argent is far more tied to PB/CnG/DH/SF than Polar/Pacifica side. Even if this were true, the stats would still favor DH/PB/SF/CnG at least in the upper ranks. the lower and possibly mid-ranks would favor Polar/Pacifican side but only so much can be done there. Unless all alliances on Polar/Pacifican side were willing to do what DAWN/IRON did against Gremlins, then there is only so much that could be done.

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Excellent, excellent post.

An argument can be made that the Polar and Pacific groups have been forced together into an accidental pole of sorts for the war, making the world temporarily bipolar, but even that is collapsing. I would certainly argue that the world was unipolar prewar and will be unipolar when the main combat is done in a month or two and we settle into a long guerilla war.

Traditionally the community has defined a pole by these three criteria:

1. The supposed pole may contain sub-factions, but they must be, to some extent, united.

2. The supposed pole must not be part of a larger faction.

3. The supposed pole must have a significant share of global power.

Prewar, the only group that fit these criteria was the PB-DH-SF-C&G-allies amalgamation. There's enough overlap to consider them a pole, they're not part of a larger faction, and they have a significant share of global power. I would argue that the groups around NPO and NpO were not poles because of their lack of significant global power. Aside from neither one being very large on its own, both were considered pariahs. Duckroll has the potential to become a pole but right now I don't think they have enough of a share of global power to be considered one.

When most of the fighting ends, there will be only one pole. The Polar and Pacific spheres will be shattered, disunited, and will have their leading alliances stuck in a guerilla war. Duckroll, like I said, has the potential to form a pole down the road, but isn't one now and probably won't be in a month or two. It's also possible that SF or CnG could break off and form a pole down the road, but for the near future they're part of the "Accidental Q".

-Bama

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