Mogar Posted June 28, 2016 Report Share Posted June 28, 2016 (edited) Go play any lotto site, you'll fine similar RNG, on occasion anyway, you also have to account for it being hundreds to thousands of other players to account for your bad luck :v Edited June 28, 2016 by Mogar Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the rebel Posted June 28, 2016 Report Share Posted June 28, 2016 I wonder if the 60/40 split isn't on a individual nation level but on a game level, which would account for the bad luck. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avakael Posted July 5, 2016 Report Share Posted July 5, 2016 It's rather telling that everyone has a story about how they missed 12-15-20 in a row, but nobody has a story about how they beat the SDI even 5 or 6 times in a row. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mogar Posted July 5, 2016 Report Share Posted July 5, 2016 I've had several wars where my SDI did absolutely nothing, I just figured the thread was about misses, not about hits. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Haflinger Posted July 7, 2016 Report Share Posted July 7, 2016 On 2016-06-17 at 3:14 PM, Blackatron said: Each nuke has a 40% chance of hitting, whilst missing 13 nukes in a row is very unlikely: 0.6^13 chance, but given the number of wars taking place in the game it happens from time to time, you just got exceptionally unlucky. (The most nukes in a row I've heard about being blocked before is 12, going up that high is obviously rare.) The worst total streak I've ever had personally was 12 straight. There was an incident a couple years back where I and a guy who was fighting the same nation as me combined for 2 for 26 nukes hit over a 2-day period. However, I've fired quite a lot of nukes, definitely in the hundreds and quite possibly in the thousands going back to 2009, so you would expect to see outliers like that from time to time. Overall I'm nearly exactly at 40% at the end of every major war. I've never found that it matters whether you wait or just fire right away again. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blackatron Posted July 7, 2016 Report Share Posted July 7, 2016 40 minutes ago, Haflinger said: The worst total streak I've ever had personally was 12 straight. There was an incident a couple years back where I and a guy who was fighting the same nation as me combined for 2 for 26 nukes hit over a 2-day period. However, I've fired quite a lot of nukes, definitely in the hundreds and quite possibly in the thousands going back to 2009, so you would expect to see outliers like that from time to time. Overall I'm nearly exactly at 40% at the end of every major war. I've never found that it matters whether you wait or just fire right away again. Thanks for the insight, I think we tend to notice the outliers too much just because that's how human psychology works, looking at the ratio of hits:thwarted, it's always over 2:3, which makes sense because not everyone has an SDI. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Haflinger Posted July 8, 2016 Report Share Posted July 8, 2016 Because of my NS range, nearly every single nuke I've fired has been against a nation with an SDI. I think back in 2010 during bipolar I hit some non-SDI nations, but that was probably only maybe a week or two I was fighting them, near the end of the war. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RoadRash Posted August 17, 2016 Report Share Posted August 17, 2016 yeah most i have seen was Senville missed 17 in a row there are screen shots somewhere Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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