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True Strength of Alliances


Ogaden

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I have created a formula for judging the true strength of alliances, basically effective hitting power (or 'projection') minus non-tech NS (or 'exposure').  Projection means damage-dealing effective NS, and Exposure means NS exposure to said damage, so a 100k nation with no nukes or tech or WRC would be completely exposed to damage, while a 100k nation with no land or infra has 0 exposure, since all its remaining NS is damage inflicting NS.

 

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1l8z9QnQNUErVygYCis0bDpaqq20VVHp6y-IVHSlFe3U/pubhtml

 

One thing I thought of doing is modify the exposure downwards with damage reduction wonders like SDIs or the CM interceptor wonder, maybe I'll tinker with this more later.

 

The activity adjustment may be unfair as some alliances are more active during wartime, but I think generally speaking the wartime activity boost is not as dramatic as people make it out to be, largely inactive people are largely inactive even if there is a war on, though the inactive members are usually also the most exposed so this may be a double-counted penalization.

 

Suggestions?  Thoughts?

Edited by Ogaden
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I'm guessing the Activity Adjusted column is the result of using the formula with the "active" nations instead of the total nation count?

 

e: missing word

 

Basically the projection is then penalized for inactive nations (so projection times percent active) but minus the full amount of exposure, to represent how inactive nations cannot make use of their projection power, but are just as exposed.

Edited by Ogaden
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I have created a formula for judging the true strength of alliances, basically effective hitting power (or 'projection') minus non-tech NS (or 'exposure').  Projection means damage-dealing effective NS, and Exposure means NS exposure to said damage, so a 100k nation with no nukes or tech or WRC would be completely exposed to damage, while a 100k nation with no land or infra has 0 exposure, since all its remaining NS is damage inflicting NS.

 

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1l8z9QnQNUErVygYCis0bDpaqq20VVHp6y-IVHSlFe3U/pubhtml

 

One thing I thought of doing is modify the exposure downwards with damage reduction wonders like SDIs or the CM interceptor wonder, maybe I'll tinker with this more later.

 

The activity adjustment may be unfair as some alliances are more active during wartime, but I think generally speaking the wartime activity boost is not as dramatic as people make it out to be, largely inactive people are largely inactive even if there is a war on, though the inactive members are usually also the most exposed so this may be a double-counted penalization.

 

Suggestions?  Thoughts?

So basically, you're sorting alliances by their Tech NS (+military) and subtracting Land and Infra NS. 

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I like the metrics you use especially with the exposure bit. Are you basing the inactivity penalty on the % active? That's always been skewed by back collections in my opinion. Otherwise good stuff with the wonder weight and leaving out "soft" NS.

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I like the metrics you use especially with the exposure bit. Are you basing the inactivity penalty on the % active? That's always been skewed by back collections in my opinion. Otherwise good stuff with the wonder weight and leaving out "soft" NS.

Back collections no longer affect displayed inactivity.
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I like the metrics you use especially with the exposure bit. Are you basing the inactivity penalty on the % active? That's always been skewed by back collections in my opinion. Otherwise good stuff with the wonder weight and leaving out "soft" NS.

Activity used to be skewed by backcollects but Admin changed it about a year ago to be based instead on last login time, so it actually is "activity" now and a useful metric.

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I'll go with the typical OWF parlance of "no u" here.

 

You just used the word parlance on the OWF.

 

Also, thanks Ogaden. Still requesting the other horseman join the stable. ;)

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How can the game tell the difference?


The activity shown in alliance statistics simply measures who has logged on in the past three days, as I understand it.

Recent changes also show that data for individual nations (whether it has been three or more days since their last log-in). :)
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